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BEIJING, Jan. 3 (Xinhuanet) -- With political and economic uncertainties ahead, the world may encounter more “black swan” events in 2017, said Chinese experts on international relations here recently.
The year of 2016 has been marked by incessant “black swan” events, with unexpected Brexit in June followed by Donald Trump winning the United States presidential election and the surprising resignation of former Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi after losing in a referendum on constitutional reforms.
Those unexpected events reflected the rising tide of anti-globalization sentiments, said Yang Xiyu, a senior fellow at China Institute of International Studies, at a forum held recently by Xinhuanet.com, the website of Xinhua News Agency.
The “black swan” events may have laid impact on conventional thinking mode concerning international relations, observed Wang Yizhou, deputy director of School of International Studies at Peking University.
Referring to the year of 2017, experts said the world would face up to risk of more turmoil.
The world may see more changes, especially with the unpredictable elections in the Netherlands, France and Germany, said Ni Feng, deputy director of the Institute of American Studies at Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
Echoing Ni’s views, Wang Yiwei, director of the Center for International Studies at China's Renmin University, said that people may expect more “black swan” events in 2017.
In Yang’s opinion, what really matters was not the events themselves, but an effective mechanism to cope with them. “For governments, a crisis management system is vital and necessary.”
